State Party Slate Assessment

A state party preparing ticket distribution across a full slate with multiple aspirants per seat and intense internal lobbying.

Ticket decisions were being driven by proximity to leadership. Rebellion risk was unmeasured, and the party had no objective basis to refuse a well-connected but unwinnable aspirant.

01

Every seat classified by competitiveness so candidate requirements matched what the seat demanded.

02

Aspirants scored on recognition, acceptability, organisational strength and public record.

03

Ground acceptability tested by survey against named aspirants, including cross-community acceptability.

04

Slate reviewed as a whole for social balance and rebellion risk.

• Assessment conducted without aspirants being informed they were being scored.
• Delivery to a single named recipient under NDA.
• Rebellion risk flags accompanied each recommendation with a suggested mitigation.

The party received an evidence base for ticket distribution. Adoption and outcome figures are confidential and are not published.

3 metrics are withheld on this case study pending client verification. We publish no figure that has not been confirmed by the client.

• Candidate Selection Support
• Opinion Polling & Surveys
• Opposition Research