Skip to content

Opinion Polling & Surveys

Statistically sound measurement of where the seat actually stands.

Baseline, tracking and post-campaign surveys designed for Indian constituency realities — stratified sampling, trained enumerators and disclosed methodology.

Short answer

What is Opinion Polling & Surveys?

Baseline, tracking and post-campaign surveys designed for Indian constituency realities — stratified sampling, trained enumerators and disclosed methodology.

The Challenge

What usually goes wrong

Poor polling is worse than no polling. Convenience samples, leading questions and enumerators who record what pleases the client produce numbers that feel reassuring and steer the campaign into a wall.

Our Approach

How we run it

  1. 01

    Sample design

    Stratified random sampling proportionate to booth-level population, weighted for turnout propensity rather than raw population.

  2. 02

    Instrument design

    Questionnaires are written to avoid leading phrasing and are field-tested in the local language before full deployment.

  3. 03

    Enumerator training and audit

    Every enumerator is trained and back-checked; a fixed percentage of interviews are independently re-contacted for verification.

  4. 04

    Analysis and weighting

    Responses are weighted to known demographic and turnout benchmarks, with confidence intervals reported openly.

  5. 05

    Tracking cadence

    Repeat waves at agreed intervals show movement over time — the number that matters far more than any single snapshot.

Deliverables

  • Baseline survey with full cross-tabulations
  • Tracking waves at agreed intervals
  • Voter sentiment and issue movement analysis
  • Candidate favourability and recall metrics
  • Methodology disclosure document

Tools & Data Sources

  • Stratified sampling frame from electoral rolls
  • CAPI tablet-based data collection
  • Back-check and audit protocol
  • Statistical weighting model

Engagement Timeline

What happens, and when

  1. Week 1

    Instrument design and pilot

  2. Week 2–3

    Field deployment

  3. Week 3

    Audit and back-check

  4. Week 4

    Analysis and reporting

    Handover and review

In Practice

Where this was deployed

First-Time Candidate Breakthrough

Recognition is the binding constraint for first-timers, and it cannot be bought quickly. Spreading a limited budget across the full agenda would have produced recognition of nothing in particular.

Read the full case study

FAQ

Questions we are asked

Typically 1,200–2,000 completed interviews for a standard Assembly seat, which supports segment-level analysis rather than a single topline number.

Related

Services that pair with this