Phase 01
Reconnaissance (Diagnostic)
Deep research and analysis of the political landscape, voters, opponents and key influencers. Nothing is spent until the seat is understood.
Typical duration
3–4 weeks
Objective
Replace assumption with measurement before any resource is committed.
Team deployed
- Research lead
- Data analyst
- Field coordinators
- Survey enumeration team
Activities
- Booth-level decomposition of the last three to four election cycles
- Demographic and social mapping against polling areas
- Baseline opinion survey with stratified sampling
- Structured field interviews with local influencers and office bearers
- Opponent and factional strength assessment
- Self-vulnerability audit of our own candidate
Deliverables
- Constituency diagnostic report
- Booth-level performance model
- Baseline survey with cross-tabs
- Opponent dossiers and vulnerability matrix